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Living in the country of the future 
By Rosa Alegria

Since I was a child I listened to a repeating adagio: "Brazil is the country of the future." But the future has never come. In the early 40´s, Stefan Zweig 1, a German Brazilianist, came to the country and fell in love with a utopian civilization. Edited in many languages, his book was some kind of utopia that has fed the country with a great contentmentIn the midst of the turbulent times of the WWII, the pacific, harmonious and "pure" Brazilian way of living was an answer to the terrified world at that time. Absolute social and radical equality was what Zweig perceived, having a good eye on this emerging society. 

Since then, Brazil has been tempted to live this utopia with generous objectives and few strategies and actions. The credits of the Brazilian utopia have been in a weakened state

Sixty years later, some of Zweig´s colors are still vivid but some of them have faded out. The colourful future shows a developing economy leading a whole new economic block G20 to oppose to the richest countries monopoly, hosted the first global ecology conference Rio 92, founded the World Social Forum of alternative global thinking as a new alternative to the Davos-based World Economic Forum, hosting the first World Culture Forum,

2. and inspired by Hazel Henderson, pioneered a global conference in Curitiba gathering the most proeminent statiticians of the world to reflect on new indicators that go beyond the GNP to measure the wealth of nations. Now, influencing the world in international cooperation and peaceful sustainable development. 

3. However, the faded colours of the rich and poor gaps are still at the global agenda concern. In the last 40 years the Brazilian society was devastated by unemployment and impoverished by the economic policy. People started to be fearful about the future. In 2002, hope overcame fear with the election of President Lula who has set up in a political agreement between the middle class voters and the worker voters. After 40 years under military dictatorship regime, Brazil has presented a beautiful demonstration of democracy to the world.

In fact, hope has never died for the Brazilians, a civilization easily identified by a great deal of optimism. By living under such a deep process of social reforms I see a powerful feeling of hope like a fuel accelerating the engine of the future.

Living in such a utopian country I have been always moved by the idea of a positive future that one day would come. I see that it is coming in a fast pace. that strengthens my profession as a futurist. But even before working in the futures field, I have been always in synchrony with the collective dreams of my people at a subjective level. How to make powerful dreams viable through an objective process? Reflecting on new projects for the Brazil of the 21st century, I was not satisfied with utopian visions, but willing to locate under what circumstances a conception of the Brasilian future might be thought through. Then I decided to get into specific knowledge, expertise, and methodologies to assist governments, organizations and individuals achieve their fullest.. Moved by this need, I accepted an invitation of Professor Peter Bishop when he first came to Brazil. The call of the time: to attend the Masters Program in Studies of The Future at the University of Houston, Clear Lake.4 This was the resource I needed to structure futures thinking that has been always fertilised by the faith in the human beings.

The unique change makers

The logosophy school believes that humans are the only beings in nature that can experiment changes by their own will 5 and that their own capabilities to re-create life is limitless in a time of socially-driven technological innovations.

Transformational theories like Ervin Laszlo´s "macro shift",6 Duane Elgin´s "evolutionary inflection"7 and Barbara Max Hubbard´s "conscious evolution"8 are different prisms of my visionary kaleidoscope in which I can already see the early birth of a new civilization. My systems radar helps me understand and perceive a shifting towards a more ecologically sustainable, equitable forms of human development advocated and foresighted by Hazel Henderson 9 business becoming agents of the world benefit, a corporate prophecy of Willis Harman,10 the rebirth of the female principles who have been officially unseen but futuristically expressed by Eleonora Masini 11, emerging future-oriented academic programs, , the decadence of the traditional media paradigms and evolutionary consumer cultures, like the cultural creatives.12

The ethics of the positive

The ethics of the positive must be a value that guide futures research for the re-enchantment of society as we areliving in a period of transition without utopia. The founding utopias have lost their prestige either because they have not kept their promises or because their references have been erased by modernity. By refusing the utopian the modern society has renounced the restoration of the future. There lies the key-role of futures methods. To help create new utopias that not only must be imagined, but used effectively in transformational processes. In this sense, I adopt a constructionist context to help organizations and individuals contemplate the possibilities they have to create, plan and anticipate alternative futures.

In everyday life, they are mostly constrained by the feeling that their realities are limited. This feeling of impotence is a strong constraint on human imagination, vision and enterprise. For that reason, it is fundamental to inquire into the effects of our prevailing images and vocabularies on human relationships. In this context, I help organizations cultivate positive images and language that help create new patterns of life and sustain the positive energy of making things happen. Contemplative and appreciative practices have been very successful in organizational change processes.

To create the future on a positive core, there is nothing more powerful than the Appreciative Inquiry (AI), a synthesis of different visioning methods to guide new approaches of changing and learning, by enhancing the possibilities rather than the problems, through the transformative potential of questions. AI was created in the 80´s by David Cooperrider, at the time, a graduate student at Case Western Reserve University and now a well-known consultant all over the world. 13

It is Based on the premise that organizations grow in the direction of the questions they raise and focus their attention on. Research in sociology has shown that when people study problems and conflicts, the number and severity of the problems they identify actually increase. But when they study human ideals and achievements, peak experiences, and best practices, these things-not the conflicts-tend to flourish. By encouraging people to ask strategic questions, we create shared meaning through the answers and act on the responses.

By living in a sceptical and fearful culture, our attitudes are similar to those of a beginner bicyclist who tend to steer toward whatever he is looking at most-like a big rock at the end of the road. By keeping the eyes on the rock we can miss the ride to the future. That ´s what I try to do in my work: rather than preventing people from looking at the stone I nourish and help develop their imaginative capacity to see the unseen and promising a long way ahead.14

A new media, a new world 

Information that circulates invalidates the imagination of the old utopias and the reconstruction of human values. Taking Fred Polak´s 15 premise thatThe potential strength of a culture could actually be measured by the intensity, energy, and belief in its images of the future, we are living in a decaying process of cultural death. "Where there is no vision, the people perish" (Proverbs 29:18). As a media activist, I see with much concern and indignation decaying values of over-consumerism, violence as entertainment, horrors being disseminated by the media. The unfair society which the global economic systems have generated, all these dramatic realities are being broadcasted and shared by the media consumers who have been indicating seeds of change in their attitude towards the messages they are in touch with everyday. Cultural creatives groups, ecological activism of the new generations, increasing pacifism movements and many other evolutionary activist groups are examples for the dawning of a new society. The noosphere that Teilhard de Chardin16 have evoked as a new spiritual sphere, that has been differentiating humans from other species since ancient times and is now, by the means of technology, composing a global tissue in a much faster pace of change. In the technology realm, communications plays a crucial role.

Communications is a powerful process that promotes people´s contact with knowledge. The several social changes that have shaped today's civilization throughout history were mostly due to different mechanisms and processes of communication. The pace of the reaction of society to what has been informed and disseminated varied according to the progressive access to science and more recently to technological advances, and this pace is directly connected to ideological and behavioural aspects of the individual, which in a collective perspective turns to be a cultural pattern. 

However, what cultural patterns is the contemporary media creating? Why do bad news take place of the good news? What kind of world is being portrayed on TV, newspapers, movies, and arts? 

The complexity of these questions must address the media´s role to transform hopeless realities into. Images and messages to be crystallized as new breathes of hope and empowerment. 

Mass media is being seen as a positive force of evolution among many communicators, journalists, publishers, advertising professionals, photographers, producers, already accepting the new challenges of the new millennium. "Objectivity" is being under serious revision in the name of "human values" and constructionist principles. 

These deep forces are restructuring old media concepts through technological globalisation and economic interdependence. 

Movements like Media for Peace and Images and Voices of Hope 17 are spotlights of an optimistic reality of transformational capabilities that communicators have all over the world through the powerful purposes of positive discourses.

More recently, the Alliance for a New Humanity18 debated in Porto Rico the control and reform of media --- and how they shaped global issues. Hazel Henderson, the global futurist voice of the media transformational process was one of the guest speakers together with representatives from Latin America, Europe, Asia and North America discussing new visions of a media that really matters and the current realities of the "mediocracies" which Hazel defines "as a new form of government, dominated by mass media, which emerged technologically in information-rich OECD countries over the past 30 years, and is now spreading globally".
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When will the future become news? 

20 What attitude does the media stand regarding the future? For the sadness of those who bet on what should have happened and wants dissociate of what has already gone, the future in no segment whatsoever of the media is still not as yet a topic of significant importance. Any news of the innovative cedes its place to news on information in general And, the information that normally reaches us reports on the past, without any prospective contemplation whatsoever of future possibilities and their alternatives.

The world craves for possibilities and alternatives, and it is not by reporting only past facts that the media will join forces with the others in the construction of the future

To help create the new, it is imperative that the media traverse the apocalyptic frontier of the old economical projections, the amorphous financial balance sheets, and the socially unfair profit margins. There is more than ample space for issues that help to imagine and create the future, such as, by giving cover and stress to trends like; the propagation of numerous and ample more research data, providing the indicators that involve up-and-coming matters, such as the preserving of environment, the impacts of technology on the population and possible scenarios that could indeed shudder or rescue the world

This of course would require a new teaching area in communication schools and in other means of information as a whole. Notwithstanding the swift changes that affect us, many sectors of the media still look upon the world through the surpassed conventional filters, such as, exposing the worldwide wretchedness, startling news, negativism and the past.

A prevailing and continuous searching for alternatives in the news can accelerate change. By adopting a prospective trend of thought, media enterprises should call futurists to devote all efforts to create new images of the future, mainly by pursuing the possible, studying the probable and evaluating the most favoured. By adopting a prospective contemplation of future possibilities and their alternatives, television, radio, newscasts, publicity and videogames would traverse the apocalyptic frontiers of economical projections, the amorphous financial balance sheets, the socially unfair profit margins, as well as all violence, scepticism and reductionism that inhibits cultural change. We need to create a new story for the world. 
By including the future in relevant news, like stamped trends and visions as headlines on every daily newspaper, magazine covers and the so called newscasts. Futures approach must be included in the communicators agenda as a vital part of disseminating proactive and positive images of the future. 

A female future 

No one can share the future as women can do. The future has a more legitimate meaning for those who breed, feed and create.21 Family environment, early childhood school setting and community as the three main leverage points (E. Masini) of the feminist utopias make women strong and make them nourish the future of others, those who they gave life to, those who they care for. The world I dream of in the next 30 years is a female oriented world, guided by the Goddess principles of Unity, Caring and Connection, where hope, peace, justice and harmony prevails. 22 To reach the female future some partnerships will have to be established to compensate the unbalanced deals of the feminist movement. Praises to the diversity male and female, humanity will have understood that all causes of the civilizational crisis were rooted in the detachment of Mother Nature and the despise towards the female principles around 4.000 BC. 23

A divine harmony will prevail: Shiva and Shakti; Mother and Father; Heaven and Earth; Female and Male principles, that will lead us to the Sacred Unity. Embodiments of Divine Love, Politics with principles, Education with character, Science with humanity, and Commerce with morality. A positive media will be creating a new history, with no more dark and gloomy futures. Science fictions will be narrated with hopeful tales of living utopias of spiritual upheavals and female-oriented plots revealing a new world order that is continuously working for the sustainable development of civilization.

Latin America in the lapse and at the threshold of time 

Latin America entered in the 21st century without knowing what to do with many of its libertarian ideas having to face the fragility of its utopia, a theme that presided over the birth of the continent and that is strong in BrazilAs an "utopian global Latin-American Brazilian futures thinker" I dream with the unity of all Latin-American nations in the new millennium. By living under a devastating colonization process we lost our identity and have lived under a cultural memetic evolutionary process. As an emerging continent in the new world order of the 21st century, we need first to identity our face in the global mirror and have a shared vision of the future, by overcoming cultural frontiers and learning with lapses of time of the 20th century, Mostly free from the authoritarian political systems we are still not free from the ties imposed by the global economy. This is a precious time to rethink the paths we should go through together to help create a new social and economic order to the world. All Latin America, hands in hands, Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, Venezuela, Paraguay, Cuba, Mexico, Ecuador, Bolivia, Peru, Colombia, Paraguay, Uruguay, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Porto Rico, Costa Rica and other nations that must be part of this Bolivar dream.24

"The birth of a world has been held back for a moment; a brief lapse of time; a second of the universe. ...What shines with self-light, no one can blow out, its light can reach the obscurity of other things" 25

Hope as the matrix of the future

The new generations cannot see the feasibility of change without hope and a positive image of the future. In a systemic process change depends on their self-confidence and on many steps beyond the sceptical views that television, movies and all media productions are creating. The convergence of all media are leading to a two-way communication system, with interactivity, participation and public conversations that will help share solutions and new visions for a sustainable society.

The choice is in our hands and in our heads. As a previous transformational process, hopeful and new values must be the matrix of the future generations movements towards a process of sustainability consciousness mobilized by their social brains on behalf of their survival. Let´s help them look at the world with appreciative eyes

Another fundamental call of the times comes from the developing world. The second world f future is not anymore as it used to be. I remember one day listening to a first world - American colleague asking me in the classroom of the MS Futures Studies Program in Houston: 

- Why on earth someone from Brazil is interested in studying the future?

- Because in the second world there is still hope - and hope is what makes us believe in the future

About the author

Rosa Alegria is an independent consultant, futurist, lecturer, media activist and communications strategist. Specialist on alternative media, branding, gender issues and consumer relations. Research Director of the Brazilian Futures Studies Centre at the Sao Paulo Catholic University, co-chair of the Brazilian Node of the Millennium Project, BA in English, Portuguese and Brazilian language and literature, completing her MS in Studies of the Future, University of Houston, Clear Lake, founder of the Movement Media for Peace www.midiadapaz.com.br  and of the Society of Feminine Knowledge www.ssf3.org  Former counsellor of the Women Condition Council of Sao Paulo and vice-president of the Brazilian Sales and Marketing Association. 

1. Zweig, Stefan: Brazil the country of the future. Editora Brasiliense, 1941
2. World Cultural Forum to be hosted by Sao Paulo in from June 26 to July4 - www.forumculturalmundial.org
3. ICONS International Conference on Indicators of Sustainability and Quality of Life www.sustentabilidade.org.br 
4. M.S. Program in Studies of the Future. University of Houston, Clear Lake www.cl.uh.edu/futureweb
5. The logosophy science and methods were introduced in 1930 by the Argentinean philosopher Carlos Gonzalez Pecotche
6. Laszlo, Ervin: Navigating the macroshift - our evolution in our hands. Axis Mundi, 2001. Brazilian Edition
7. Elgin, Duane: The Evolutionary Inflection and Species-Awakening www.awakeningearth.org
8. Max Hubbard, Barbara: Conscious Evolution, awakening the power of our social potential. New World Library, 1998
9. Henderson, Hazel: Building a Win-Win World. Sao Paulo, Editora Cultrix, Brazilian edition, 1996
10. Harman, Willis: Global Mind Change: the promise of the 21st century. Berrett-Koehler Pub; 2nd edition, 1998
11. Masini, Eleonora: The household, gender, and age project. 
12. Ray, Paul: The cultural creatives: how 50 million people are changing the e world. New York, Harmony Books,2000
13. Cooperrider, David: Appreciative Inquiry - the handbook. Lakeshore Communications, 2003
14. Mohr, Bernard J: Igniting Transformative Action. The Systems Thinker, vol. 12 No. 1 Jan/Feb 2001
15. Polak, Fred: The image of the future. Oceana, 1961
16. Chardin, Teilhard de: The Phenomenon of Man. Perennial, 1976
17. Both movements were launched in 1999 simultaneously in Sao Paulo and in New York. Internet based on Media for peace www.midiadapaz.com.br and Images and Voices of Hope www.ivofhope.org 
18. Alliance for the NewHumanity Conference held in december 2004, San Juan, Puerto Rico. www.anhglobal.org)
19. Henderson, Hazel. Paradigms in Progress: Life beyond economics. Sao Paulo, Editora Cultrix, Brazilian edition, 1998
20. Alegria, Rosa: When will the future become news? 2002, article submitted to the MS Program - University of Houston, Clear Lake and posted at Novae Magazine - www.novae.inf.br/rosaalegria/futuro.htm
21. Milojevic, Ivana: Feminism, Futures Studies and the Futures of Feminist Research -www.metafuture.org/articlesbycolleagues/IvanaMilojevic/FeministFutures.htm
22. Ouriques, Evandro. The Sacred Unity. From the book Yoga, Tradition and Science, Rio, 2001
23. Alegria, Rosa. Female Future. 2003, Article posted in the Society of Feminine Knowledge www.ssf3.org - Portuguese version
24. Simon Bolivar is a historical leader who since 1813 leaded the independence revolution of South America.
25. From Canción para la Unidad Latinoamericana (Song for the Latin-American Unity) - composed in the 80´s by the Cuban poet and musician Pablo Milanes


 
 
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